A huge relegation clash between Liverpool and Leicester City headlines MD17 of the Women's Super League.

Liverpool have enjoyed a decent run of form recently, and could open up some breathing space between themselves and bottom-side Leicester.

League leaders Manchester City will look to build on their gap at the top when they travel to Aston Villa, while Arsenal could close in on the Champions League places when they face London City Lionesses.

Tottenham will be desperate to stay close to the top three when they host Everton, while Sunday's League Cup final between Chelsea and Manchester United means there will be two games on Wednesday.

The Blues host Brighton at Kingsmeadow before the Red Devils take on West Ham, who will also be aiming to move away from the relegation zone.

Here's how the Opta supercomputer predicts MD17 of the WSL will unfold in what could be a crucial week of action.

How the #BarclaysWSL table looks after match week 16  pic.twitter.com/QNcbbSOyti

— Barclays Women's Super League (@BarclaysWSL) February 15, 2026

TOTTENHAM V EVERTON

Although Tottenham's results have been inconsistent across their last five WSL games (W3 L2), they have shown plenty of strength in the attacking department, highlighted by a 7-3 win against Villa last time out.

Across the last three matchdays, Spurs have recorded the most shots in the WSL (70), taking 28 versus West Ham on MD14 and 27 against Aston Villa last time out.

Everton, however, have won each of their last three league games and could record four consecutive victories in the WSL for the first time since winning their opening four fixtures of the 2020-21 campaign, which included a 1-0 win over Spurs.

3 - Everton have won three consecutive league games for the first time since January 2023, with Scott Phelan the first manager to win their first two @BarclaysWSL matches in charge of the Toffees. Bounce. #OptaOnWSL pic.twitter.com/NhWddl0NXW

— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) February 15, 2026

The Opta supercomputer predicts Spurs to get the job done at home, giving them a 53.1% chance of victory to Everton's 22.9%, while a draw was the outcome in 24% of the pre-match simulations.

Spurs are unbeaten in their last five WSL games against Everton (W2 D3) and could complete a double over the Toffees for the first time in the competition.

LONDON CITY LIONESSES V ARSENAL

Arsenal have won their last seven consecutive games in all competitions, and their record against promoted sides speaks for itself.

They lost their first WSL game against a promoted side in May 2014 (1-0 at home to Man City); since then, the Gunners are unbeaten in all 28 of their such league games (W25 D3), winning 14 of 15 away from home.

London City Lionesses' first WSL game was against Arsenal on MD1 this season, going 1-0 ahead before ultimately losing 4-1 – they have lost all six of their meetings with the Gunners across all competitions by an aggregate score of 1-20.

And the supercomputer backs the visitors to repeat the trick, with Arsenal winning 68.6% of the pre-match simulations, while the Lionesses won 14.1%. It ended on 17.3% of occasions.

The Lionesses will also have to keep a close eye on Alessia Russo (15/16), who is looking to become the third player to score against 100% of the teams they have played against in the WSL, along with Vivianne Miedema (17/17) and Sam Kerr (14/14).

LIVERPOOL V LEICESTER CITY

Liverpool have won four of their last six matches across all competitions (L2), as many as they managed across their 23 games prior (D5 L14).

Only the WSL's big four sides (Arsenal 80%, Man Utd 80%, Man City 75%, Chelsea 75%) have a better win rate in all competitions in 2026 than the Reds (57% – P7 W4 D1 L2).  

Leicester, on the other hand, are the only pointless team in the WSL this year, losing all four of their games; the Foxes last had a longer streak of consecutive defeats in the top-flight between May and December 2022 (10). 

However, Leicester beat Liverpool 1-0 at home on MD2 this season and could complete a league double over the Reds for the second time in the WSL (also 2022-23), something they have never done twice to an opponent.

Liverpool, who sit one point above the basement side heading into the weekend, have a win probability of 57.3% according to the supercomputer, which has given Leicester a 20.5% chance of victory and a 22.2% likelihood of leaving with a point.

ASTON VILLA V MANCHESTER CITY

Aston Villa have lost each of their last four WSL games, and the supercomputer predicts that misery to continue against Man City.

Andree Jeglertz's side have been given a 73.9% chance of victory at Villa Park, while the hosts' win probability comes in at 11.4%. A draw was the outcome in 14.7% of the pre-match simulations.

The league leaders, who have an eight-point buffer at the top of the table, are high on confidence, having thrashed Leicester 6-0 at home last time out, with Lauren Hemp starring in the victory.

On MD16, Hemp became the first player in WSL history to create more than 10 chances from open play in a game (11), three of which were for Khadija Shaw.

Man City have scored at least five goals in four different league games this season, including in the reverse fixture with Villa back in December (6-1).

CHELSEA V BRIGHTON

Chelsea have won five of their six WSL home games against Brighton, with the exception of a 2-1 loss in February 2021. The Blues have won 4-2 in this exact fixture in both of the last two seasons.  

Brighton, meanwhile, have only won one of their 14 meetings with Chelsea in the WSL (D3 L10), going winless in nine (D2 L7) since that 2-1 win under Hope Powell in February 2021.

Chelsea have recorded the most clean sheets in the WSL this season (eight), twice as many as Brighton, despite averaging the same number of shots faced per game as the Seagulls (both 12.1).

However, the average xG of the shots the Blues have faced this season is the lowest of any team (0.099), while Brighton rank fifth in that regard (0.111).

This will be Brighton's first WSL game since February 8, 38 days ago; it is the longest wait between top-flight matches in a season by any club since the Seagulls, Leicester and Liverpool waited 42-43 days between December 2022 and January 2023.

And the supercomputer does not see it being a happy return to league action for Brighton, with Chelsea winning 86% of the pre-match simulations to the Seagulls' 5%, while the latter snatched a draw in 9% of them.

WEST HAM V MANCHESTER UNITED

Manchester United are one of just two sides yet to lose in the WSL in 2026 (P5 W4 D1 – alongside Arsenal, P3 W2 D1), after the Red Devils defeated the Lionesses 2-1 in their last league meeting.

14/14 - Manchester United are the only team with a 100% win rate against newly promoted teams in the @BarclaysWSL, winning all 14 of their matches by an aggregate score of 40-4. Schooling. #OptaOnWSL pic.twitter.com/YLurNZIgzc

— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) February 15, 2026

Marc Skinner's side are the favourites to pick up three points at Chigwell Construction Stadium, being given a 70.3% chance of victory by the supercomputer. West Ham have a win probability of 13.2% and a 16.5% likelihood of securing a draw.

After winning their first WSL meeting with United (3-2 in December 2019), West Ham have since failed to win each of their last 11 top-flight matches against the Red Devils (D3 L8).

However, all four of the WSL games that United have failed to beat West Ham have come away from home (D3 L1), while they have drawn their last two league visits to the Hammers.

Nevertheless, West Ham have suffered the most defeats of any side in the WSL this campaign (11), with that already as many losses as they endured across the entirety of last season.